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Gold price rebounds on cool US CPI reading but remains trapped on risk-on mood
Wednesday, 14 May 2025 01:27 WIB | GOLD |GOLD

Gold prices traded with a positive tone on Tuesday, following Monday's drop of over 2.70%, exchanged hands at around $3,250, up by 0.42%. A softer-than-expected US inflation report and the trade truce between China and the US may keep Gold prices capped beneath the $3,300 figure.

US inflation data for April was slightly softer than expected by market participants on a monthly basis. Annual basis figures were aligned with projections, indicating that the tariff effect has not been reflected so far in the "hard data."

Meanwhile, analysts at a major US commercial bank revealed that tariffs have boosted goods prices, "but larger increases are in the pipeline
Money market participants are still seeing a restrictive Federal Reserve (Fed). The December 2025 fed funds rate futures contract estimates the US central bank will ease 52 basis points of easing. This implies two rate cuts as Fed officials projected since last year's December meeting, further confirmed by the latest Summary of Economic Projections in March.

Ahead this week, traders are eyeing the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) and US Retail Sales data.
Gold price edged up, still capped by high US Treasury yields
US Treasury bond yields are climbing with the US 10-year Treasury note yield edging up 1.5 basis points to 4.489%. Meanwhile, US real yields are also steady at 2.199% as indicated by the US 10-year Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities yields.
The US CPI in April expanded by 0.2% MoM, below forecasts of 0.3%, but up from March's -0.1% number. Core CPI rose by 0.2% MoM, up from the previous month but beneath estimates of 0.3%.
On an annual basis, the US CPI increased by 2.3% YoY, a tenth below estimates and the previous month's reading, and core metrics remained unchanged at 2.8% YoY.
The announcement of a tariff agreement between the US and China improved risk appetite and sent Bullion prices plunging. Nevertheless, traders should be aware of recent developments regarding US trade policies and geopolitics as new catalysts could emerge and push Gold prices in either direction.
The World Gold Council revealed that the People's Bank of China added 2 tonnes to its Gold reserves in April – for the sixth consecutive month. The National Bank of Poland increased by 12 tonnes in April to 509 tonnes; while the Czech National Bank increased its reserves by 2.5 tonnes in April.

SOurce: Fxstreet

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